You’ve probably heard of stronghold vs swing regions. While these two classifiers present somewhat of a binary choice, the reality of how people vote in a region is a bit more nuanced. To that end, we are launching a brand new index that ranks how competitive Presidential elections are in a given region.

At a glance:

  • One of the pitfalls of the popular ‘stronghold’ vs ’swing’ region is its inability to capture how regions are trending over time.

  • Our competitiveness index enables us to measure overtime whether a region is becoming a stronghold of a specific party or if it’s becoming more of a swing region.

  • The index assigns a rating from 0 to 100.

  • The lower the rating, the less competitive (aka stronghold) a region is. Conversely, a high rating in the 90s generally point to a solid swing region. 

  • The least competitive region in our Index is the Volta Region, with a rating of 20 out of 100. 

  • The most competitive region is Greater Accra with a rating of 98.5 out of 100. 

  • Click here to see the full set of ratings for all 16 regions

%d bloggers like this: