Western North Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 9 constituencies of the Western North Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JUNE 19 2020

Legend:

Blue: NPP ( > 80% chance of winning) | Purple: Competitive | Green: NDC ( > 80% chance of winning)

Aowin

  • NDC 82.2% 82.2%
  • NPP 17.8% 17.8%

Bia East

  • NDC 99.4% 99.4%
  • NPP 0.6% 0.6%

Bia West

  • NDC 98.9% 98.9%
  • NPP 1.1% 1.1%

Bibiani Anhwiaso Bekwai

  • NPP 60.3% 60.3%
  • NDC 39.7% 39.7%

Bodi

  • NDC 98.2% 98.2%
  • NPP 1.8% 1.8%

Juabeso

  • NDC 97.3% 97.3%
  • NPP 2.7% 2.7%

Sefwi Akontonmbra

  • NDC 83.3% 83.3%
  • NPP 16.7% 16.7%

Sefwi Wiawso

  • NDC 81.2% 81.2%
  • NPP 18.8% 18.8%

Suaman

  • NDC 93% 93%
  • NPP 7% 7%

All Regions

AHAFO REGION

Safe NPP - 1

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 0

ASHANTI REGION

Safe NPP - 40

Competitve - 6

Safe NDC - 1

BONO REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 6

Safe NDC - 0

BONO EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 6

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

GREATER ACCRA REGION

Safe NPP - 9

Competitive - 15

Safe NDC - 10

NORTH EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 3

NORTHERN REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 9

Safe NDC - 9

OTI REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 7

SAVANNAH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 7

UPPER EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 2

Safe NDC - 13

UPPER WEST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 8

VOLTA REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 18

WESTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 10

Safe NDC - 1

WESTERN NORTH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 8

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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