Volta Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 18 constituencies of the Volta Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (0)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

0 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

NDC SEATS (18)

18 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Adaklu
  • Afadjato South
  • Agotime Ziope
  • Akatsi North
  • Akatsi South
  • Anlo
  • Central Tongu
  • Ho Central
  • Ho West
  • Hohoe
  • Keta
  • Ketu North
  • Ketu South
  • Kpando
  • North Dayi
  • North Tongu
  • South Dayi
  • South Tongu

 

COMPETITIVE SEATS (0)

0 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

Adaklu

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afadjato South

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Agotime Ziope

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Akatsi North

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Akatsi South

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Anlo

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Central Tongu

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ho Central

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ho West

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Hohoe

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Keta

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0% 0%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ketu North

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • NPP 0.2% 0.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ketu South

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Kpando

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0% 0%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

North Dayi

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%
  • NPP 0% 0%

North Tongu

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%
  • NPP 0% 0%

South Dayi

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.6% 99.6%
  • OTHER 0.4% 0.4%
  • NPP 0% 0%

South Tongu

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%
  • NPP 0% 0%

All Regions

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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