Savannah Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 7 constituencies of the Savannah Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (0)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

0 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

NDC SEATS (6)

5 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Bole Bamboi
  • Damango
  • Salaga North
  • Sawla Tuna Kalba
  • Yapei Kusawgu

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Daboya Mankarigu
COMPETITIVE SEATS (1)

1 Competitive Seat (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Salaga South

Bole Bamboi

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.3% 99.3%
  • NPP 0.7% 0.7%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Daboya Mankarigu

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 79.6% 79.6%
  • NPP 21.4% 21.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Damango

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 88.4% 88.4%
  • NPP 11.6% 11.6%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Salaga North

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.4% 99.4%
  • NPP 0.4% 0.4%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%

Salaga South

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 59.9% 59.9%
  • NPP 29.6% 29.6%
  • OTHER 10.5% 10.5%

Sawla Tuna Kalba

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 90.9% 90.9%
  • NPP 9% 9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Yapei Kusawgu

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 81.1% 81.1%
  • NPP 18.9% 18.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

All Regions

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

Learn More

A polling app like no other!

Download the Vote233 Android App to take part in our weekly polls, catch up on our latest forecast and analyses and contribute your voice to shaping our democracy

Get it on Google Play

Stay Informed.

Subscribe to our email newsletter to get fresh new content delivered to your inbox daily.

Sitemap