Oti Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 8 constituencies of the Oti Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (0)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

0 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

NDC SEATS (8)

7 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Akan
  • Biakoye
  • Buem
  • Krachi West
  • Krachi Nchumuru
  • Nkwanta North
  • Nkwanta South

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Krachi East
COMPETITIVE SEATS (0)

0 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

Akan

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.4% 99.4%
  • NPP 0.4% 0.4%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%

Biakoye

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.6% 99.6%
  • NPP 0.4% 0.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Buem

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • NPP 0.2% 0.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Krachi East

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 77% 77%
  • NPP 23% 23%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Krachi West

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 98.3% 98.3%
  • NPP 1.5% 1.5%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%

Krachi Nchumuru

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 89.6% 89.6%
  • NPP 10.4% 10.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Nkwanta North

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 87.5% 87.5%
  • NPP 12.4% 12.4%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Nkwanta South

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.2% 99.2%
  • NPP 0.6% 0.6%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%

All Regions

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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