Oti Constituency Forecast
Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 8 constituencies of the Oti Region
*Based on Historic trends only UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (0)
0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)
0 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)
NDC SEATS (8)
7 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)
- Akan
- Biakoye
- Buem
- Krachi West
- Krachi Nchumuru
- Nkwanta North
- Nkwanta South
1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)
- Krachi East
COMPETITIVE SEATS (0)
0 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)
Akan
SAFE NDC
- NDC 99.4%
- NPP 0.4%
- OTHER 0.2%
Biakoye
SAFE NDC
- NDC 99.6%
- NPP 0.4%
- OTHER 0%
Buem
SAFE NDC
- NDC 99.8%
- NPP 0.2%
- OTHER 0%
Krachi East
LIKELY NDC
- NDC 77%
- NPP 23%
- OTHER 0%
Krachi West
SAFE NDC
- NDC 98.3%
- NPP 1.5%
- OTHER 0.2%
Krachi Nchumuru
SAFE NDC
- NDC 89.6%
- NPP 10.4%
- OTHER 0%
Nkwanta North
SAFE NDC
- NDC 87.5%
- NPP 12.4%
- OTHER 0.1%
Nkwanta South
SAFE NDC
- NDC 99.2%
- NPP 0.6%
- OTHER 0.2%
All Regions
How does Vote233 forecast the elections?
Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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