Greater Accra Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 34 constituencies of the capital region

*Based on the Historic Trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (15)

10 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Ablekuma North
  • Ablekuma West
  • Anyaa Sowutuom
  • Dome Kwabenya
  • Okaikoi Central
  • Okaikoi South
  • Tema Central
  • Tema West
  • Trobu 
  • Weija Gbawe

5 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Ayawaso Central
  • Ayawaso West Wuogon
  • Bortianor Ngleshie Amanfro
  • Okaikoi North
  • Tema East
NDC SEATS (12)

10 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Ada
  • Ashiaman
  • Ayawaso East
  • Ayawaso North
  • Domeabra Obom
  • Kpone Katamanso
  • Ningo Prampram
  • Odododiodio
  • Sege
  • Shai Osudoku

2 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Amasaman
  • Dadekotopon
COMPETITIVE SEATS (7)

7 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Ablekuma Central
  • Ablekuma South
  • Adentan
  • Klottey-Korle
  • Krowor
  • Ledzokuku
  • Madina

Ablekuma Central

COMPETITIVE
  • NPP 53.6% 53.6%
  • NDC 45.8% 45.8%
  • OTHER 0.6% 0.6%

Ablekuma North

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 95.8% 95.8%
  • NDC 4.2% 4.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ablekuma South

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 64.3% 64.3%
  • NPP 35.7% 35.7%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ablekuma West

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 85.2% 85.2%
  • NDC 14.8% 14.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ada

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Adentan

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 58.3% 58.3%
  • NPP 42.7% 42.7%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Amasaman

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 71% 71%
  • NPP 29% 29%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Anyaa Sowutuom

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 98.7% 98.7%
  • NDC 1.3% 1.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ashiaman

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 92.6% 92.6%
  • NPP 7.4% 7.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ayawaso Central

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 70.7% 70.7%
  • NDC 29.3% 29.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ayawaso East

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 94.4% 94.4%
  • NPP 5.6% 5.6%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ayawaso North

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 91.4% 91.4%
  • NPP 8.6% 8.6%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ayawaso West Wuogon

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 79.1% 79.1%
  • NDC 21.9% 21.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bortianor Ngleshie Amanfro

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 67.6% 67.6%
  • NDC 32.4% 32.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Dadekotopon

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 74.1% 74.1%
  • NPP 25.9% 25.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Dome Kwabenya

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 96.8% 96.8%
  • NDC 3.2% 3.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Domeabra Obom

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • NPP 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Klottey-Korle

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 50.4% 50.4%
  • NPP 47.5% 47.5%
  • OTHER 2.1% 2.1%

Kpone-Katamanso

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 82.1% 82.1%
  • NPP 17.9% 17.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Krowor

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 52.3% 52.3%
  • NPP 47% 47%
  • OTHER 0.7% 0.7%

Ledzokuku

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 64.7% 64.7%
  • NPP 35.3% 35.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Madina

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 66.7% 66.7%
  • NPP 33.3% 33.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ningo Prampram

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.5% 99.5%
  • NPP 0.5% 0.5%
  • OTHER 00% 00%

Odododiodio

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 86.3% 86.3%
  • NPP 13.7% 13.7%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Okaikoi Central

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 84% 84%
  • NDC 16% 16%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Okaikoi North

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 72.2% 72.2%
  • NDC 27.8% 27.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Okaikoi South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 84% 84%
  • NDC 16% 16%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Sege

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 97.9% 97.9%
  • NPP 2.1% 2.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Shai Osudoku

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 94.2% 94.2%
  • NPP 5.7% 5.7%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Tema Central

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 98.9% 98.9%
  • NDC 1.1% 1.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Tema East

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 76.1% 76.1%
  • NDC 23.9% 23.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Tema West

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 86.1% 86.1%
  • NDC 13.9% 13.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Trobu

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 96.2% 96.2%
  • NDC 3.8% 3.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Weija Gbawe

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 86.6% 86.6%
  • NDC 13.4% 13.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%