Greater Accra Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 34 constituencies of the capital region

*Based on the Historic Trends only
UPDATED JUNE 16 2020

Legend:

Blue: NPP ( > 80% chance of winning) | Purple: Competitive | Green: NDC ( > 80% chance of winning)

Ablekuma Central

  • NPP 50.3% 50.3%
  • NDC 49.7% 49.7%

Ablekuma North

  • NPP 96.3% 96.3%
  • NDC 3.7% 3.7%

Ablekuma South

  • NDC 57.8% 57.8%
  • NPP 42.2% 42.2%

Ablekuma West

  • NPP 92.1% 92.1%
  • NDC 7.9% 7.9%

Ada

  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Adentan

  • NDC 58.7% 58.7%
  • NPP 42.3% 42.3%

Amasaman

  • NDC 73.6% 73.6%
  • NPP 26.4% 26.4%

Anyaa Sowutuom

  • NPP 98.8% 98.8%
  • NDC 1.2% 1.2%

Ashiaman

  • NDC 87% 87%
  • NPP 13% 13%

Ayawaso Central

  • NPP 68.9% 68.9%
  • NDC 31.1% 31.1%

Ayawaso East

  • NDC 89.4% 89.4%
  • NPP 10.6% 10.6%

Ayawaso North

  • NDC 93.3% 93.3%
  • NPP 6.7% 6.7%

Ayawaso West Wuogon

  • NPP 68.4% 68.4%
  • NDC 31.6% 31.6%

Bortianor Ngleshie Amanfro

  • NPP 58.7% 58.7%
  • NDC 41.3% 41.3%

Dadekotopon

  • NDC 67.5% 67.5%
  • NPP 32.5% 32.5%

Dome Kwabenya

  • NPP 96.2% 96.2%
  • NDC 3.8% 3.8%

Domeabra Obom

  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Klottey-Korle

  • NPP 53.3% 53.3%
  • NDC 46.7% 46.7%

Kpone-Katamanso

  • NDC 92.7% 92.7%
  • NPP 7.3% 7.3%

Krowor

  • NDC 51.6% 51.6%
  • NPP 48.4% 48.4%

Ledzokuku

  • NDC 64.3% 64.3%
  • NPP 35.7% 35.7%

Madina

  • NDC 67.4% 67.4%
  • NPP 32.6% 32.6%

Ningo Prampram

  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Odododiodio

  • NDC 80.3% 80.3%
  • NPP 19.7% 19.7%

Okaikoi Central

  • NPP 79.4% 79.4%
  • NDC 20.6% 20.6%

Okaikoi North

  • NPP 69.2% 69.2%
  • NDC 30.8% 30.8%

Okaikoi South

  • NPP 88.2% 88.2%
  • NDC 11.8% 11.8%

Sege

  • NDC 99.8% 99.8%
  • NPP 0.2% 0.2%

Shai Osudoku

  • NDC 99.7% 99.7%
  • NPP 0.3% 0.3%

Tema Central

  • NPP 97.9% 97.9%
  • NDC 2.1% 2.1%

Tema East

  • NPP 76.1% 76.1%
  • NDC 23.9% 23.9%

Tema West

  • NPP 81.3% 81.3%
  • NDC 18.7% 18.7%

Trobu

  • NPP 97.3% 97.3%
  • NDC 2.7% 2.7%

Weija Gbawe

  • NPP 82.6% 82.6%
  • NDC 17.4% 17.4%

All Regions

GREATER ACCRA REGION

Safe NPP - 9

Competitive - 15

Safe NDC - 10

NORTH EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 3

NORTHERN REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 9

Safe NDC - 9

OTI REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 7

SAVANNAH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 7

UPPER EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 2

Safe NDC - 13

UPPER WEST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 8

VOLTA REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 18

WESTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 10

Safe NDC - 1

WESTERN NORTH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 8

AHAFO REGION

Safe NPP - 1

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 0

ASHANTI REGION

Safe NPP - 40

Competitve - 6

Safe NDC - 1

BONO REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 6

Safe NDC - 0

BONO EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 6

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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