Eastern Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 33 constituencies of the Eastern Region

*Based on the trends only
UPDATED JUNE 12 2020

Legend:

Blue: NPP ( > 80% chance of winning) | Purple: Competitive | Green: NDC ( > 80% chance of winning)

Abetifi

  • NPP 99.2% 99.2%
  • NDC 0.8% 0.8%

Abirem

  • NPP 97% 97%
  • NDC 3% 3%

Abuakwa North

  • NPP 96.2% 96.2%
  • NDC 3.8% 3.8%

Achiase

  • NPP 99.4% 99.4%
  • NDC 0.6% 0.6%

Afram Plains North

  • NDC 99.9% 99.9%
  • NPP 0% 0%

Afram Plains South

  • NDC 99.1% 99.1%
  • NPP 0.9% 0.9%

Akim Abuakwa South

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0% 0%

Akim Oda

  • NPP 99.4% 99.4%
  • NDC 0.6% 0.6%

Akim Swedru

  • NPP 99.5% 99.5%
  • NDC 0.5% 0.5%

Akuapem North

  • NPP 98.4% 98.4%
  • NDC 1.6% 1.6%

Akuapem South

  • NPP 99.7% 99.7%
  • NDC 0.3% 0.3%

Akwatia

  • NPP 86% 86%
  • NDC 14% 14%

Asene Akroso Manso

  • NPP 98.3% 98.3%
  • NDC 1.7% 1.7%

Asuogyaman

  • NDC 63% 63%
  • NPP 37% 37%

Atiwa East

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%

Atiwa West

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0% 0%

Ayensuano

  • NPP 77.8% 77.8%
  • NDC 22.2% 22.2%

Fanteakwa North

  • NPP 70.8% 70.8%
  • NDC 29.2% 29.2%

Fanteakwa South

  • NPP 99% 99%
  • NDC 1% 1%

Kade

  • NPP 99.1% 99.1%
  • NDC 0.9% 0.9%

Lower Manya Krobo

  • NDC 93.1% 93.1%
  • NPP 2.7% 2.7%

Lower West Akim

  • NPP 89.1% 89.1%
  • NDC 10.9% 10.9%

Mpraeso

  • NPP 99.3% 99.3%
  • NDC 0.7% 0.7%

New Juaben North

  • NPP 99.7% 99.7%
  • NDC 0.3% 0.3%

New Juaben South

  • NPP 94.4% 94.4%
  • NDC 5.6% 5.6%

Nkawkaw

  • NPP 99.8% 99.8%
  • NDC 0.2% 0.2%

Nsawam Adoagyiri

  • NPP 75.4% 75.4%
  • NDC 24.6% 24.6%

Ofoase Ayirebi

  • NPP 95.5% 95.5%
  • NDC 4.5% 4.5%

Okere

  • NPP 94.6% 94.6%
  • NDC 2.8% 2.8%

Suhum

  • NPP 83.1% 83.1%
  • NDC 16.9% 16.9%

Upper Manya Krobo

  • NDC 94.7% 94.7%
  • NPP 5.3% 5.3%

Upper West Akim

  • NDC 70.2% 70.2%
  • NPP 29.8% 29.8%

Yilo Krobo

  • NDC 96.2% 96.2%
  • NPP 3.8% 3.8%

All Regions

GREATER ACCRA REGION

Safe NPP - 9

Competitive - 15

Safe NDC - 10

NORTH EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 3

NORTHERN REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 9

Safe NDC - 9

OTI REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 7

SAVANNAH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 7

UPPER EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 2

Safe NDC - 13

UPPER WEST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 8

VOLTA REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 18

WESTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 10

Safe NDC - 1

WESTERN NORTH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 8

AHAFO REGION

Safe NPP - 1

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 0

ASHANTI REGION

Safe NPP - 40

Competitve - 6

Safe NDC - 1

BONO REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 6

Safe NDC - 0

BONO EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 6

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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