Bono East Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 11 constituencies of the Bono Region

*Based on historic trends only
UPDATED JUNE 15 2020

Legend:

Blue: NPP ( > 80% chance of winning) | Purple: Competitive | Green: NDC ( > 80% chance of winning)

Atebubu Amantin

  • NDC 85.5% 85.5%
  • NPP 14.5% 14.5%

Kintampo North

  • NDC 89.5% 89.5%
  • NPP 10.5% 10.5%

Kintampo South

  • NDC 71.5% 71.5%
  • NPP 28.5% 28.5%

Nkoranza North

  • NPP 62.6% 62.6%
  • NDC 37.4% 37.4%

Nkoranza South

  • NDC 51% 51%
  • NPP 49% 49%

Pru East

  • NDC 98% 98%
  • NPP 2% 2%

Pru West

  • NDC 83.1% 83.1%
  • NPP 16.9% 16.9%

Sene East

  • NDC 99.7% 99.7%
  • NPP 0.3% 0.3%

Sene West

  • NDC 97.9% 97.9%
  • NPP 2.1% 2.1%

Techiman North

  • NPP 53.3% 53.3%
  • NDC 46.7% 46.7%

Techiman South

  • NDC 55.8% 55.8%
  • NPP 44.2% 44.2%

All Regions

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

GREATER ACCRA REGION

Safe NPP - 9

Competitive - 15

Safe NDC - 10

NORTH EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 3

NORTHERN REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 9

Safe NDC - 9

OTI REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 7

SAVANNAH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 7

UPPER EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 2

Safe NDC - 13

UPPER WEST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 8

VOLTA REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 18

WESTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 10

Safe NDC - 1

WESTERN NORTH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 8

AHAFO REGION

Safe NPP - 1

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 0

ASHANTI REGION

Safe NPP - 40

Competitve - 6

Safe NDC - 1

BONO REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 6

Safe NDC - 0

BONO EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 6

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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