Bono East Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 11 constituencies of the Bono Region

*Based on historic trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (1)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Nkoranza North
NDC SEATS (7)

5 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Atebubu Amantin
  • Kintampo North
  • Pru East
  • Sene East
  • Sene West

2 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Kintampo South
  • Pru West
COMPETITIVE SEATS (3)

3 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Nkoranza South
  • Techiman North
  • Techiman South

Atebubu Amantin

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 86.8% 86.8%
  • NPP 13.2% 13.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kintampo North

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 82.5% 82.5%
  • NPP 17.5% 17.5%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kintampo South

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 79.1% 79.1%
  • NPP 20.9% 20.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Nkoranza North

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 74% 74%
  • NDC 26% 26%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Nkoranza South

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 53.8% 53.8%
  • NPP 46% 46%
  • OTHER 0.2% 0.2%

Pru East

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 90.2% 90.2%
  • NPP 9.7% 9.7%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Pru West

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 76.9% 76.9%
  • NPP 23.1% 23.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Sene East

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 99.3% 99.3%
  • NPP 0.7% 0.7%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Sene West

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 86.7% 86.7%
  • NPP 13.3% 13.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Techiman North

COMPETITIVE
  • NPP 52.6% 52.6%
  • NDC 46.7% 46.7%
  • OTHER 0.7% 0.7%

Techiman South

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 56.5% 56.5%
  • NPP 42% 42%
  • OTHER 1.5% 1.5%

CENTRAL REGION

NPP SEATS (9)

5 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Agona West
  • Assin Central
  • Assin South
  • Upper Denkyira East
  • Upper Denkyira West

4 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Asikuma Odoben Brakwa
  • Awutu Senya East
  • Effutu
  • Hemang Lower Denkyira
NDC SEATS (2)

1 Safe Seat (>80% chance of winning)

  • Ekumfi

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Abura Asebu Kwamankese
COMPETITIVE SEATS (12)

12 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Agona East
  • Ajumako Enyan Esiam
  • Assin North
  • Awutu Senya West
  • Cape Coast North
  • Cape Coast South
  • Gomoa Central
  • Gomoa East
  • Gomoa West
  • Mfantseman
  • Twifo Atii Morkwa