Bono Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 12 constituencies of the Bono Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JUNE 10 2020

Legend:

Blue: NPP ( > 80% chance of winning) | Purple: Competitive | Green: NDC ( > 80% chance of winning)

Banda

  • NDC 51.8% 51.8%
  • NPP 48.2% 48.2%

Berekum East

  • NPP 90.8% 90.8%
  • NDC 9.2% 9.2%

Berekum West

  • NPP 93.3% 93.3%
  • NDC 6.7% 6.7%

Dormaa Central

  • NPP 67% 67%
  • NDC 33% 33%

Dormaa East

  • NPP 95% 95%
  • NDC 5% 5%

Dormaa West

  • NDC 74.5% 74.5%
  • NPP 25.5% 25.5%

Jaman North

  • NDC 67% 67%
  • NPP 33% 33%

Jaman South

  • NPP 91.3% 91.3%
  • NDC 8.7% 8.7%

Sunyani East

  • NPP 95.7% 95.7%
  • NDC 4.3% 4.3%

Sunyani West

  • NPP 89.3% 89.3%
  • NDC 10.7% 10.7%

Tain

  • NDC 51.7% 51.7%
  • NPP 48.3% 48.3%

Wenchi

  • NPP 62.3% 62.3%
  • NDC 37.7% 37.7%

All Regions

BONO REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 6

Safe NDC - 0

BONO EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 6

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

GREATER ACCRA REGION

Safe NPP - 9

Competitive - 15

Safe NDC - 10

NORTH EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 3

NORTHERN REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 9

Safe NDC - 9

OTI REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 7

SAVANNAH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 7

UPPER EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 2

Safe NDC - 13

UPPER WEST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 8

VOLTA REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 18

WESTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 10

Safe NDC - 1

WESTERN NORTH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 8

AHAFO REGION

Safe NPP - 1

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 0

ASHANTI REGION

Safe NPP - 40

Competitve - 6

Safe NDC - 1

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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