Bono Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 12 constituencies of the Bono Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (7)

6 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Berekum East
  • Berekum West
  • Dormaa East
  • Jaman South
  • Sunyani East
  • Sunyani West

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Dormaa Central
NDC SEATS (2)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

2 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Dormaa West
  • Tain
COMPETITIVE SEATS (3)

3 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Banda
  • Jaman North
  • Wenchi

Banda

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 59.3% 59.3%
  • NPP 40.7% 40.7%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Berekum East

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 86.1% 86.1%
  • NDC 13.9% 13.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Berekum West

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 88.2% 88.2%
  • NDC 11.8% 11.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Dormaa Central

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 67.7% 67.7%
  • NDC 32.2% 32.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Dormaa East

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 91% 91%
  • NDC 9% 9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Dormaa West

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 68.9% 68.9%
  • NPP 31.1% 31.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Jaman North

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 57.8% 57.8%
  • NPP 41.8% 41.8%
  • OTHER 0.4% 0.4%

Jaman South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 91.2% 91.2%
  • NDC 8.8% 8.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Sunyani East

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 89.4% 89.4%
  • NDC 10.5% 10.5%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Sunyani West

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 84.6% 84.6%
  • NDC 15.4% 15.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Tain

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 72.5% 72.5%
  • NPP 27.5% 27.5%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Wenchi

COMPETITIVE
  • NPP 60.6% 60.6%
  • NDC 37.5% 37.5%
  • OTHER 1.9% 1.9%

BONO EAST REGION

NPP SEATS (1)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Nkoranza North
NDC SEATS (7)

5 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Atebubu Amantin
  • Kintampo North
  • Pru East
  • Sene East
  • Sene West

2 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Kintampo South
  • Pru West
COMPETITIVE SEATS (3)

3 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Nkoranza South
  • Techiman North
  • Techiman South
FULL FORECAST