Ashanti Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 47 constituencies of the Ashanti Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JULY 17 2020
NPP SEATS (43)

40 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Adansi Asokwa
  • Afigya Kwabre North
  • Afigya Kwabre South
  • Afigya Sekyere East
  • Ahafo Ano Southwest
  • Akrofuom
  • Asante Akim Central
  • Asante Akim North
  • Asante Akim South
  • Asokwa
  • Atwima Kwanwoma
  • Atwima Mponua
  • Atwima Nwabiagya North
  • Atwima Nwabiagya South
  • Bantama
  • Bekwai
  • Bosome Freho
  • Bosomtwe
  • Efiduase Asokore
  • Ejisu
  • Fomena
  • Juaben
  • Kumawu
  • Kwabre East
  • Kwadaso
  • Mampong
  • Manhyia North
  • Manhyia South
  • Manso Adubia
  • Manso Nkwanta
  • Nhyiaeso
  • Nsuta Kwamang Beposo
  • Obuasi East
  • Obuasi West
  • Odotobri
  • Offinso South
  • Oforikrom
  • Old Tafo
  • Suame
  • Subin

3 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Ahafo Ano North
  • Ahafo Ano Southeast
  • Offinso North
NDC SEATS (3)

1 Safe Seat (>80% chance of winning)

  • Sekyere Afram Plains

2 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Asawase
  • Ejura Sekyedumase
COMPETITIVE SEATS (1)

1 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • New Edubiase

Adansi Asokwa

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 90.9% 90.9%
  • NDC 9.1% 9.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afigya Kwabre North

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afigya Kwabre South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afigya Sekyere East

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ahafo Ano North

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 74.9% 74.9%
  • NDC 25% 25%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Ahafo Ano South East

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 76.9% 76.9%
  • NDC 23.1% 23.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ahafo Ano South West

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 81.9% 81.9%
  • NDC 18.1% 18.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Akrofuom

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 92.7% 92.7%
  • NDC 7.3% 7.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asante Akim Central

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.8% 99.8%
  • NDC 0.2% 0.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asante Akim North

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 96% 96%
  • NDC 4% 4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asante Akim South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 96% 96%
  • NDC 4% 4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asawase

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 77.8% 77.8%
  • NPP 22.2% 22.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asokwa

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Kwanwoma

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Mponua

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 89% 89%
  • NDC 11% 11%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Nwabiagya North

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Nwabiagya South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bantama

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bekwai

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bosome Freho

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 98% 98%
  • NDC 1.9% 1.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Bosomtwe

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Efiduase Asokore

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ejisu

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ejura Sekyedumase

LIKELY NDC
  • NDC 69.7% 69.7%
  • NPP 30.3% 30.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Fomena

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 98.9% 98.9%
  • NDC 1% 1%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Juaben

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kumawu

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.8% 99.8%
  • NDC 0.2% 0.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kwabre East

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kwadaso

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Mampong

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manhyia North

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manhyia South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manso Adubia

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manso Nkwanta

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

New Edubease

COMPETITIVE
  • NDC 65.7% 65.7%
  • NPP 30.8% 30.8%
  • OTHER 3.5% 3.5%

Nhyiaeso

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Nsuta Kwamang Beposo

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 95.7% 95.7%
  • NDC 4.3% 4.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Obuasi East

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 98.9% 98.9%
  • NDC 1.1% 1.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Obuasi West

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 97.5% 97.5%
  • NDC 2.5% 2.5%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Odotobri

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Offinso North

LIKELY NPP
  • NPP 73.1% 73.1%
  • NDC 26.9% 26.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Offinso South

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 96.6% 96.6%
  • NDC 3.4% 3.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Oforikrom

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.2% 99.2%
  • NDC 0.8% 0.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Old Tafo

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Sekyere Afram Plains

SAFE NDC
  • NDC 96.9% 96.9%
  • NPP 3.1% 3.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Suame

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Subin

SAFE NPP
  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

BONO REGION

NPP SEATS (7)

6 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

  • Berekum East
  • Berekum West
  • Dormaa East
  • Jaman South
  • Sunyani East
  • Sunyani West

1 Likely Seat (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Dormaa Central
NDC SEATS (2)

0 Safe Seats (>80% chance of winning)

2 Likely Seats (> 2 in 3 chance of winning)

  • Dormaa West
  • Tain
COMPETITIVE SEATS (3)

3 Competitive Seats (< 2 in 3 chance)

  • Banda
  • Jaman North
  • Wenchi
FULL FORECAST