Ashanti Constituency Forecast

Our Model’s partial forecast for the NDC and NPP’s win probabilities in all 47 constituencies of the Ashanti Region

*Based on Historic trends only
UPDATED JUNE 9 2020

Legend:

Blue: NPP ( > 80% chance of winning) | Purple: Competitive | Green: NDC ( > 80% chance of winning)

Adansi Asokwa

  • NPP 90.9% 90.9%
  • NDC 9.1% 9.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afigya Kwabre North

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afigya Kwabre South

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Afigya Sekyere East

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ahafo Ano North

  • NPP 74.9% 74.9%
  • NDC 25% 25%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Ahafo Ano South East

  • NPP 76.9% 76.9%
  • NDC 23.1% 23.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ahafo Ano South West

  • NPP 81.9% 81.9%
  • NDC 18.1% 18.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Akrofuom

  • NPP 92.7% 92.7%
  • NDC 7.3% 7.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asante Akim Central

  • NPP 99.8% 99.8%
  • NDC 0.2% 0.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asante Akim North

  • NPP 96% 96%
  • NDC 4% 4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asante Akim South

  • NPP 96% 96%
  • NDC 4% 4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asawase

  • NDC 77.8% 77.8%
  • NPP 22.2% 22.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Asokwa

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Kwanwoma

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Mponua

  • NPP 89% 89%
  • NDC 11% 11%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Nwabiagya North

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Atwima Nwabiagya South

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bantama

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bekwai

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Bosome Freho

  • NPP 98% 98%
  • NDC 1.9% 1.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Bosomtwe

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Efiduase Asokore

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ejisu

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Ejura Sekyedumase

  • NDC 69.7% 69.7%
  • NPP 30.3% 30.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Fomena

  • NPP 98.9% 98.9%
  • NDC 1% 1%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Juaben

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kumawu

  • NPP 99.8% 99.8%
  • NDC 0.2% 0.2%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kwabre East

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Kwadaso

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Mampong

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manhyia North

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manhyia South

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manso Adubia

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Manso Nkwanta

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

New Edubease

  • NDC 76% 76%
  • NPP 23.9% 23.9%
  • OTHER 0.1% 0.1%

Nhyiaeso

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Nsuta Kwamang Beposo

  • NPP 95.7% 95.7%
  • NDC 4.3% 4.3%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Obuasi East

  • NPP 98.9% 98.9%
  • NDC 1.1% 1.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Obuasi West

  • NPP 97.5% 97.5%
  • NDC 2.5% 2.5%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Odotobri

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Offinso North

  • NPP 73.1% 73.1%
  • NDC 26.9% 26.9%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Offinso South

  • NPP 96.6% 96.6%
  • NDC 3.4% 3.4%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Oforikrom

  • NPP 99.2% 99.2%
  • NDC 0.8% 0.8%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Old Tafo

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Sekyere Afram Plains

  • NDC 96.9% 96.9%
  • NPP 3.1% 3.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Suame

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

Subin

  • NPP 99.9% 99.9%
  • NDC 0.1% 0.1%
  • OTHER 0% 0%

All Regions

BONO REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 6

Safe NDC - 0

BONO EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 6

CENTRAL REGION

Safe NPP - 5

Competitive - 17

Safe NDC - 1

EASTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 23

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 5

GREATER ACCRA REGION

Safe NPP - 9

Competitive - 15

Safe NDC - 10

NORTH EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 3

NORTHERN REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 9

Safe NDC - 9

OTI REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 7

SAVANNAH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 7

UPPER EAST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 2

Safe NDC - 13

UPPER WEST REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 3

Safe NDC - 8

VOLTA REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 0

Safe NDC - 18

WESTERN REGION

Safe NPP - 6

Competitive - 10

Safe NDC - 1

WESTERN NORTH REGION

Safe NPP - 0

Competitive - 1

Safe NDC - 8

AHAFO REGION

Safe NPP - 1

Competitive - 5

Safe NDC - 0

ASHANTI REGION

Safe NPP - 40

Competitve - 6

Safe NDC - 1

How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic model, a Polls model and a Composite Economic Index.

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