Who Will Win The 2020 General Elections?
Here’s what our model is predicting for each candidate’s chances of winning
UPDATED: Feb 18 2020, 17:36 GMT
- Nana Akuffo Addo | NPP 76.33% 76.33%
- John Mahama | NDC 20.80% 20.80%
- No one wins 2.87% 2.87%
- All Others 0.001% 0.001%
John Mahama gains +2 pts in our latest forecast
UPDATED: Feb 19, 2020 | 17:00 GMT
Our latest update to the election forecast sees John Mahama’s chances jumping by 2 pts. This is a bounce from his strong debate performance last Tuesday
Chances of a draw ticks up sharply!
The latest poll numbers has made an impact on our forecast. The chances of no one winning the first round has ticked up from 8% to 11%
How does Vote233 forecast the elections?
Vote233’s forecast for Ghana’s 2020 Presidential elections uses statistical models to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Our 2020 model builds upon our successful 2016 model, but with some big changes to how the forecast is generated. This year we are computing our final forecast by combining 3 separate models: a Polls-based model, a Historic model and a Composite Economic Index model.
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