Who will win the 2020 Elections?

Our predictions of each party’s chances of winning

Nana Akuffo Addo


Chance of winning

John Mahama


Chance of winning

No one


Chance of a run-off

Parliamentary Forecast




How does Vote233 forecast the elections?

Our election’s forecast uses a combination of statistical models and machine learning to predict each candidate’s chances of winning the elections. Following our successful 2016 forecast, we’ve rebuilt the 2020 model to be more robust and dynamic. This year our final forecast is generated from 3 separate models: a Historic mod…

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Who Will Win The 2020 General Elections?

The Vote233 partial forecast for each candidate's chance of winning the first round

UPDATED: MAY 6 2020 AT 9:55 AM


chance of Nana Addo winning


chance of John Mahama winning


chance no one wins the first round

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